Dynasty Market Report — July 13, 2026

The Lede

The draft pick market is sending a clear bifurcated signal today: future picks are surging while 2026 picks crater. The 2026 3rd is up +143.79% to DME 1,726 — nearly identical to where the 2026 Early 2nd sits after a -33.17% collapse to DME 1,727. That convergence is not a coincidence. The market is repricing 2026 draft capital downward across the board while simultaneously bidding up 2027 exposure, and savvy managers need to act on that gap before it closes.

Who's Rising

The pick surge is the headline, but the player movers deserve attention. Jaleel McLaughlin (+78.08%, DME 1,113) and Xavier Restrepo (+77.23%, DME 1,051) are both spiking on what appear to be depth chart opportunity signals — McLaughlin likely benefiting from continued backfield ambiguity in Denver, Restrepo from Tennessee's receiver room thinning out. Daniel Bellinger (+73.91%, DME 1,153) and Xavier Hutchinson (+73.2%, DME 1,299) round out a group of high-upside, low-cost stashes that are worth buying into if you missed the early window — these DME levels still represent modest absolute values with significant ceiling.

Who's Falling

The 2026 first-round range is getting hammered at every tier: the Early 1st is down -16.43% to DME 5,195, the Mid 1st off -40.5% to DME 3,111, and the Late 1st cratering -47.21% to DME 2,242. This is a systemic repricing, not isolated noise — likely driven by perceived class depth concerns or a broader rotation into 2027 capital. This is a buy window on 2026 Mid and Late 1sts if you believe the class has underrated talent; if you're holding them, don't panic-sell into this dip.

The Move

Target Xavier Hutchinson (DME 1,299) in trade today. His +73.2% spike is real movement, but his absolute DME remains low enough that acquisition costs haven't caught up with his trajectory. In Houston's offense with a full role, his ceiling is significantly underpriced at current value — offer a 2026 Late 2nd (DME 1,195) and make this happen before the market does.