Dynasty Market Report — September 13, 2026
The Lede
NFL Week 1 is in the books, and the dynasty market is doing exactly what it does every September: violently repricing uncertainty. The most dramatic story isn't a player at all — the 2026 Late 1st cratered 75.02% to DME 1,205, dragging the Mid 1st down 52.7% to DME 2,546 as rookie class hype evaporates the moment real games replace projections. That repricing is cascading directly into the young QBs who arrived with sky-high profiles and are now staring at brutal NFL reality.
Who's Rising
Drew Allar is the week's loudest signal, surging +20.04% to DME 1,216 — the biggest percentage gain on the board and a strong indication Pittsburgh's offense is running through him more than pre-season models anticipated. In Superflex, a young QB on an ascending curve at 1,216 DME is a genuine value; buy aggressively before that number climbs another tier. Bijan Robinson (+6.46%, DME 10,399) continues his march toward the top of the position — Atlanta's backfield remains his and the market is finally catching up to what his touch share screamed all offseason.
Who's Falling
Shedeur Sanders is the cautionary tale of the week, collapsing -60.31% to DME 1,171 as Cleveland's offense apparently did him no favors in Week 1. At 1,171 DME, the floor is murky — this is a wait-and-see, not a buy-low; situation matters as much as talent here. J.J. McCarthy (-55.41%, DME 1,092) tells a similar story in Minnesota, and with both QBs now trading near pick-equivalent value, the market is essentially saying their situations have neutralized their upside for now.
The Move
Sell Drew Allar into the hype. A 20% single-week spike to DME 1,216 on a backup-tier QB is a gift — dynasty managers who rostered him cheap are sitting on a rare short-term profit in a position that hasn't proven sustained production yet. Package Allar to a Superflex-desperate team and flip that equity toward Shedeur Sanders at DME 1,171, where the cost basis is now low enough that any positive Cleveland development becomes pure upside.